Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.004614 0.005213 0.005895 0.006734 0.007750 0.008953 0.010505
2025-12-14 0.003741 0.004483 0.005401 0.006645 0.008329 0.010592 0.013984
2025-12-21 0.003345 0.004176 0.005267 0.006858 0.009206 0.012714 0.018735
2025-12-28 0.003105 0.004006 0.005250 0.007177 0.010252 0.015325 0.025298
2026-01-04 0.002860 0.003784 0.005110 0.007266 0.010937 0.017538 0.032263
2026-01-11 0.002627 0.003545 0.004904 0.007202 0.011331 0.019336 0.039423
2026-01-18 0.002453 0.003370 0.004767 0.007218 0.011858 0.021556 0.049140
2026-01-25 0.002269 0.003159 0.004545 0.007050 0.011991 0.022980 0.057871
2026-02-01 0.002082 0.002928 0.004266 0.006736 0.011765 0.023504 0.064298
2026-02-08 0.001917 0.002719 0.004004 0.006419 0.011471 0.023776 0.070232
2026-02-15 0.001840 0.002643 0.003956 0.006495 0.012039 0.026511 0.089571
2026-02-22 0.001738 0.002518 0.003813 0.006368 0.012121 0.027938 0.105197
2026-03-01 0.001623 0.002372 0.003632 0.006168 0.012058 0.029133 0.123577
2026-03-08 0.001536 0.002267 0.003517 0.006092 0.012295 0.031488 0.156571
2026-03-15 0.001494 0.002235 0.003529 0.006280 0.013259 0.036998 0.238998
2026-03-22 0.001467 0.002225 0.003580 0.006562 0.014570 0.045003 0.418050
2026-03-29 0.001418 0.002172 0.003544 0.006641 0.015333 0.051455 0.681510
2026-04-05 0.001357 0.002095 0.003455 0.006584 0.015670 0.056252 1.047136
2026-04-12 0.001309 0.002038 0.003399 0.006598 0.016247 0.063099 1.899440
2026-04-19 0.001249 0.001954 0.003283 0.006450 0.016242 0.066576 2.998495
2026-04-26 0.001180 0.001851 0.003122 0.006172 0.015727 0.066348 3.833223
2026-05-03 0.001115 0.001754 0.002966 0.005891 0.015148 0.065368 4.688371
2026-05-10 0.001088 0.001724 0.002946 0.005959 0.015860 0.074790 16.454813